The Horizon Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P90 | Traction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.77 $

at 0.77

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 210 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 337 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

5.80 $

at 0.97

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.12 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.20 $

at 0.73

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.78 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1525
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 0.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1525
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 1.18 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.77 $ +4.70 (+53.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2.30 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 0.67 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 209 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 0.77 $ +0.20 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.0700–0.1098
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 210 · buy 0.0700–0.1098

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

4.83 $

at 0.97

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.12 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

0.73 $

at 0.73

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.78 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1598
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 0.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1598
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 1.18 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0899

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.86 $ +3.11 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.97 $

at 0.97

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.12 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

1.47 $

at 0.73

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.78 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1555
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 0.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1555
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 1.18 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0874

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

14.81 $

at 2.12

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 2.38 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0193
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0292
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 3.00 $ +0.89 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.24 $ +3.72 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

4.83 $

at 0.97

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.12 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.20 $

at 0.73

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.78 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1526
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 0.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1526
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 1.18 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

4.23 $

at 2.12

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 2.38 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0283
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 3.00 $ +0.89 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0333

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.26 $ +4.71 (+41.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P90 | Traction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.77 $

at 0.77

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 210 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 337 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.90 $

at 0.97

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.12 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2.20 $

at 0.73

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.78 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 0.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 1.18 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

7.14 $

at 2.38

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 2.69 $ +0.31 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 3.00 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 3.37 $ +0.99 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.02 $ +4.20 (+32.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 34%

at a loss

worst

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.46 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.88 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.07 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

10.50 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.00 $ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79.29 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.93 $ 6.00%

Steam

about break-even

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.44 $ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.81 $ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.26 $ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381134 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 5.13$ · invest 5.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3396887 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.54$ · invest 6.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3397777 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.50$ · invest 5.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161708 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3397383 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.07$ · invest 6.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161986 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3397384 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 3.86$ · invest 6.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162904 instead of 0.164444

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build

What you get 10 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build