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Crafts · The Horizon Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.09$

Invest 8.37$

Average return 13.46$

ROI +60.8%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 20.42 $, profit at most −6.96 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.35 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

2.26 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.38 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.41 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 0.47 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0816

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.70 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.37 $ +5.09 (+60.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

3.41 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1095
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1095

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

4.52 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.38 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

0.78 $

at 0.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1095
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) — 0.87 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0986
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1095

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.72 $ +2.27 (+26.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1.13 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.38 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

7.33 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0383
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0383

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.46 $ +5.35 (+63.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.60 $

at 0.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested) — 0.60 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested) — 0.61 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0700–0.0897

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

2.26 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.38 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.70 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.56 $ +4.54 (+53.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.73 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 1.12 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1061

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3.39 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.37 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.38 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.78 $

at 0.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) — 0.87 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0955
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1061

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.63 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.30 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.53 $ +3.16 (+37.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 8%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57.80 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

11.20 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.95 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

3.86 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4.62 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

13.80 $ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.04 $ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.66 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

12.65 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.95 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392698 · The Glove Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.29$ · invest 8.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162532 instead of 0.163211; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.074595
Craft 3381905 · The Chroma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.01$ · invest 8.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.163211; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074595
Craft 3377210 · The Breakout Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.46$ · invest 7.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162105 instead of 0.163211; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074595
Craft 3391414 · The Gamma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 6.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.163211; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075263 instead of 0.074595

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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