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Crafts · The Horizon Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +33.84$

Invest 148.41$

Average return 182.24$

ROI +22.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 354.68 $, profit at most −172.44 $

float premium: at least 193 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +46.35 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −148 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

36.96 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

79.36 $

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0856
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 17.41 $ +7.49 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0856

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

32.08 $

at 32.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) — 39.02 $ +6.93 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) — 39.63 $ +7.54 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.41 $ +33.84 (+22.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −221 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

100.63 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0684
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0977

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

110.88 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

9.92 $

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0868
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 17.41 $ +7.49 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0868

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.43 $ +36.71 (+16.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −153 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

79.36 $

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 17.41 $ +7.49 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.28 $ +38.45 (+25.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −167 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.54 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0657
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0939

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

59.52 $

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0834
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 17.41 $ +7.49 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0834

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.98 $ +43.72 (+26.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −159 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

15.86 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) — 16.77 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +52.80 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1069

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

69.44 $

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 14.30 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 17.41 $ +7.49 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0831

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.23 $ +41.99 (+26.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

float up to 0.055299

126.32 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

406.89 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.64 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400367 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 33.52$ · invest 145.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −122 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076808 instead of 0.077099; StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New): float at most 0.005957 instead of 0.006212
Craft 3377225 · The Breakout Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 32.23$ · invest 143.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −123 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077099; StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006212

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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