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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −24 241.35₽

Invest at least 45 024.80₽

Average return 20 783.46₽

ROI −53.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 45 024.80 ₽, profit at most −24 241.35 ₽

float premium: at least 24 345 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 119 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

8 100.00 ₽

at 1 350.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 476.22 ₽ +2 126.22 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0690
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 5 527.20 ₽ +4 177.20 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0986

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

8 925.69 ₽

at 2 975.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 476.22 ₽ +500.99 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 10 724.30 ₽ +7 749.07 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

2 093.40 ₽

at 2 093.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 6 099.99 ₽ +4 006.59 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0591
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 8 051.41 ₽ +5 958.01 ₽ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0394

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 119.09 ₽ +1 664.37 (+8.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 497 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6 384.65 ₽

at 1 276.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) — 1 350.00 ₽ +73.07 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 5 527.20 ₽ +4 250.27 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1068

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

8 925.69 ₽

at 2 975.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 476.22 ₽ +500.99 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 10 724.30 ₽ +7 749.07 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4 186.80 ₽

at 2 093.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 6 099.99 ₽ +4 006.59 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 8 051.41 ₽ +5 958.01 ₽ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 497.14 ₽ +527.32 (+2.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 981 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6 750.00 ₽

at 1 350.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 476.22 ₽ +2 126.22 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0652
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 5 527.20 ₽ +4 177.20 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0932

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

5 950.46 ₽

at 2 975.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 3 476.22 ₽ +500.99 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 10 724.30 ₽ +7 749.07 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6 280.20 ₽

at 2 093.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 6 099.99 ₽ +4 006.59 ₽ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0559
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 8 051.41 ₽ +5 958.01 ₽ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 980.66 ₽ +284.81 (+1.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

32 752.68 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 794.96 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

17 193.95 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

14 896.79 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +684.72 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 486.16 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build