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The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −31.18$

Invest at least 123.85$

Average return 92.68$

ROI −25.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 123.85 $, profit at most −31.18 $

float premium: at least 71 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

37.28 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

9.77 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0230

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.56 $ +41.12 (+79.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

3.38 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1649
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1154

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

8.43 $

at 8.43

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) — 16.70 $ +8.27 $ per item · on the market 620 · buy 0.0700–0.0771

Steam

×6

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

58.60 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.42 $ +5.38 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −46 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

19.53 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0230

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.87 $ +35.99 (+66.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×3

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

29.30 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0230

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.18 $ +30.87 (+55.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.51 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) — 1.30 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear) — 3.50 $ +2.37 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +2.89 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

14.91 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

39.07 $

at 9.77

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) — 28.02 $ +18.25 $ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0200–0.0230

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.49 $ +25.75 (+44.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

34.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.49 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

19.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

80.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

102.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

49.78 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392298 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.71$ · invest 50.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003776 instead of 0.003977
Craft 3394241 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 42.42$ · invest 45.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161510 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003503 instead of 0.003977
Craft 3392979 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.41$ · invest 55.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.003977
Craft 3370268 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 40.92$ · invest 51.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.003977
Craft 3374069 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.33$ · invest 49.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.003977

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build