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Crafts · The Huntsman Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −31.64$

Invest at least 103.60$

Average return 71.96$

ROI −30.5%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 103.60 $, profit at most −31.64 $

float premium: at least 52 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +41.68 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

6.34 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) — 2.56 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.46 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.50 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0214

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0842

35.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1016
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0030

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.35 $ +30.61 (+74.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

2.11 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) — 2.56 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.46 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0154
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.50 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0257

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0851

45.02 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1019
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.13 $ +41.68 (+88.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

4.22 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) — 2.56 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.46 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0140
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.50 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0846

40.02 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1017
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0033

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.24 $ +36.15 (+81.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

4.22 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) — 2.56 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.46 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.50 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0219

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Module

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

10.25 $

at 2.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) — 2.11 $ cheaper by 0.45 $ · on the market 184 · buy 0.1500–0.1580
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.05 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0843

20.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1016
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.48 $ +12.21 (+35.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

6.34 $

at 2.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) — 2.56 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.46 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0121
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.50 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0202

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Module

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

10.25 $

at 2.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) — 2.11 $ cheaper by 0.45 $ · on the market 184 · buy 0.1500–0.1574
StatTrak™ P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) — 3.57 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) — 4.61 $ +2.05 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

15.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1015
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.59 $ +6.68 (+21.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 14%
Losing outcome 86%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.36 $ 14.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.15 $ 14.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

13.69 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11.05 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33.86 $ 14.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AUG | Torque

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

12.76 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

11.20 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Tatter

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

7.68 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Curse

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

19.09 $ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.036351

24.00 $ 6.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.77 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401085 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37.02$ · invest 46.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −39 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085619 instead of 0.084245
Craft 3396264 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.98$ · invest 45.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086169 instead of 0.084245
Craft 3401058 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 32.15$ · invest 42.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083803 instead of 0.084245

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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