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The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 205.17₴

Invest at least 5 473.01₴

Average return 3 267.83₴

ROI −40.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 5 473.01 ₴, profit at most −2 205.17 ₴

float premium: at least 3 136 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 336.45 ₴ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −451 ₴

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −26.08 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

941.56 ₴

at 156.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 204.22 ₴ +47.29 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 240.35 ₴ +83.42 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 245.63 ₴ +88.70 ₴ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 314.88 ₴

at 328.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 359.28 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 501.84 ₴ +173.12 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴ +384.56 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 256.44 ₴ +1 011.39 (+44.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −329 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

1 412.34 ₴

at 156.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 204.22 ₴ +47.29 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0122
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 240.35 ₴ +83.42 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0122
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 245.63 ₴ +88.70 ₴ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

328.72 ₴

at 328.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 359.28 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0786
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 501.84 ₴ +173.12 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴ +384.56 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 741.06 ₴ +36.23 (+2.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −370 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

1 255.41 ₴

at 156.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 204.22 ₴ +47.29 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0109
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 240.35 ₴ +83.42 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0109
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 245.63 ₴ +88.70 ₴ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

657.44 ₴

at 328.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 359.28 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 501.84 ₴ +173.12 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴ +384.56 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 912.85 ₴ +361.29 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −410 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1 098.49 ₴

at 156.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 204.22 ₴ +47.29 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 240.35 ₴ +83.42 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 245.63 ₴ +88.70 ₴ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

986.16 ₴

at 328.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 359.28 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 501.84 ₴ +173.12 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴ +384.56 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 084.65 ₴ +686.34 (+32.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −491 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

784.63 ₴

at 156.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 204.22 ₴ +47.29 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 240.35 ₴ +83.42 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 245.63 ₴ +88.70 ₴ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 643.60 ₴

at 328.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 359.28 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 501.84 ₴ +173.12 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 713.28 ₴ +384.56 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 428.24 ₴ +1 336.45 (+55.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

1 579.31 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

float up to 0.009053

795.92 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

2 042.30 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 363.01 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

7 186.51 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

3 264.61 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 586.44 ₴ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +765.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +951.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3390979 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 181.25₴ · invest 1 952.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 174 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075262 instead of 0.075837
Craft 3400617 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 148.63₴ · invest 2 286.89₴
profit on prices without salesat least −623 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075727 instead of 0.075837

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build