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The Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11 017.71₽

Invest at least 21 164.71₽

Average return 10 147.00₽

ROI −52.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 21 164.71 ₽, profit at most −11 017.71 ₽

float premium: at least 11 390 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 333 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 600.00 ₽

at 1 600.00

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 2 254.75 ₽ +654.75 ₽ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0221
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) — 18 403.49 ₽ +16 803.49 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

×9

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

6 733.35 ₽

at 748.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Detour (Factory New) — 1 610.09 ₽ +861.94 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Factory New) — 3 799.00 ₽ +3 050.85 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0600–0.0665

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 8 333.35 ₽ +1 813.65 (+21.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 495 ₽

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

4 509.50 ₽

at 2 254.75

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) — 1 600.00 ₽ cheaper by 654.75 ₽ · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0012
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) — 18 403.49 ₽ +16 148.74 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0012

Steam

×8

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

5 985.20 ₽

at 748.15

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Detour (Factory New) — 1 610.09 ₽ +861.94 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Factory New) — 3 799.00 ₽ +3 050.85 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0600–0.0695

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 10 494.70 ₽ +139.17 (+1.3%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 296.10 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Road Rash

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 922.18 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Bulldozer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 708.22 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −128.62 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 633.99 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3369198 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1 736.18₽ · invest 7 670.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 276 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.004430
Craft 3378412 · The Cache Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1 691.47₽ · invest 8 040.59₽
profit on prices without salesat least −8 041 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New); Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New): float at most 0.006871 instead of 0.004430

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build