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The Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +35.44$

Invest 41.78$

Average return 77.22$

ROI +84.8%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 100.54 $, profit at most −23.32 $

float premium: at least 59 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

19.88 $

at 19.88

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) — 28.01 $ +8.13 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0216
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) — 228.63 $ +208.75 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

21.91 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.78 $ +35.44 (+84.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

56.02 $

at 28.01

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) — 19.88 $ cheaper by 8.13 $ · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0013
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) — 228.63 $ +200.62 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0013

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

19.47 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.49 $ +13.20 (+17.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.35 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201.59 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Bulldozer

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

207.57 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3369341 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.48$ · invest 33.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.004332
Craft 3378475 · The Cache Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.92$ · invest 38.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.004332

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build