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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +13 460.19₸

Invest 40 706.37₸

Average return 54 166.56₸

ROI +33.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 95 826.63 ₸, profit at most −41 660.07 ₸

float premium: at least 54 374 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4891

11 998.36 ₸

at 11 998.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 15 746.93 ₸ +3 748.57 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3493
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 16 481.48 ₸ +4 483.11 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

8 587.73 ₸

at 2 862.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 3 353.38 ₸ +490.80 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3199
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 5 019.69 ₸ +2 157.11 ₸ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4440

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

20 120.27 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2790
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1002

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40 706.37 ₸ +13 460.19 (+33.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 051 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4938

23 996.73 ₸

at 11 998.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 15 746.93 ₸ +3 748.57 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3527
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 16 481.48 ₸ +4 483.11 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4954

2 681.15 ₸

at 2 681.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 3 353.38 ₸ +672.23 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3791
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) — 4 499.14 ₸ +1 817.99 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.5079

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

23 473.65 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2812
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50 151.52 ₸ +13 055.38 (+26.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 880 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4899

35 995.09 ₸

at 11 998.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 15 746.93 ₸ +3 748.57 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3499
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 16 481.48 ₸ +4 483.11 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

23 473.65 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2794
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1009

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59 468.74 ₸ +12 778.57 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 836 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

51 790.95 ₸

at 12 947.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 15 746.93 ₸ +2 799.20 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2748
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +5 578.88 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3655

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

20 120.27 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2778
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0981

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71 911.22 ₸ +9 376.49 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 541 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

38 843.21 ₸

at 12 947.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 15 746.93 ₸ +2 799.20 ₸ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2743
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +5 578.88 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3649

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

31 493.87 ₸

at 15 746.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 18 115.28 ₸ +2 368.35 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2290
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +2 779.68 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2256

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

16 766.89 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2754
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0939

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87 103.97 ₸ +3 224.08 (+3.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

33 966.99 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

69 823.17 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

25 046.32 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

286 672.67 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 648.93 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 561.23 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398219 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12 582.86₸ · invest 33 955.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384218 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163860 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3379816 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 12 524.42₸ · invest 34 303.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387830 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175728 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3398139 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 338.08₸ · invest 35 997.85₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384396 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164446 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3398092 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 12 285.12₸ · invest 32 732.99₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387830 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175728 instead of 0.166983

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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