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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −92.03$

Invest at least 211.68$

Average return 119.65$

ROI −43.5%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 211.68 $, profit at most −92.03 $

float premium: at least 120 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4891

26.50 $

at 26.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +8.28 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3493
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 36.41 $ +9.90 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

18.97 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3199
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4440

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2790
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1002

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.92 $ +29.73 (+33.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4938

53.01 $

at 26.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +8.28 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3527
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 36.41 $ +9.90 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4954

5.92 $

at 5.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3791
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) — 9.94 $ +4.02 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.5079

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2812
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.78 $ +28.84 (+26.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4899

79.51 $

at 26.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +8.28 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3499
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 36.41 $ +9.90 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2794
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1009

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.36 $ +28.23 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −99 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

114.40 $

at 28.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +6.18 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2748
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +12.32 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3655

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2778
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0981

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 158.85 $ +20.71 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −143 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

85.80 $

at 28.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +6.18 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2743
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +12.32 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3649

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

69.57 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2290
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2256

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

37.04 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2754
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0939

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.41 $ +7.12 (+3.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

75.03 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

55.33 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

633.25 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398219 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 27.79$ · invest 75.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384218 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163860 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3379816 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 27.67$ · invest 75.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387830 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175728 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3398139 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 27.25$ · invest 79.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384396 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164446 instead of 0.166983
Craft 3398092 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 27.14$ · invest 72.31$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387830 instead of 0.385168; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175728 instead of 0.166983

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build