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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +103.61$

Invest 123.90$

Average return 227.51$

ROI +83.6%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 313.41 $, profit at most −85.90 $

float premium: at least 171 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +108.55 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −124 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4943

26.50 $

at 26.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +8.28 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3530
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 36.41 $ +9.90 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

97.40 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0411
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0275

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.90 $ +103.61 (+83.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −346 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

120.05 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1680
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1177

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

183.06 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

43.29 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0350
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 346.39 $ +36.13 (+10.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −225 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

160.06 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1173

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

64.93 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0341
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0228

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.00 $ +95.52 (+42.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −185 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

69.57 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2298
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2263

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

40.02 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1172

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

75.76 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0340
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0228

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.34 $ +104.18 (+56.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −150 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

28.60 $

at 28.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 34.78 $ +6.18 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.2741
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +12.32 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.3645

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

34.78 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2272
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2240

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

86.58 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0314
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0210

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.96 $ +108.55 (+72.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

325.52 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

126.46 $ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

96.56 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 068.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396068 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 106.75$ · invest 126.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −126 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164282 instead of 0.169235

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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