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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +29.24$

Invest 67.77$

Average return 97.01$

ROI +43.1%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 163.19 $, profit at most −66.18 $

float premium: at least 91 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8.55 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

14.82 $

at 3.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 6.27 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1203
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 6.28 $ +2.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.1082
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 11.59 $ +7.89 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0700–0.1082

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

44.40 $

at 8.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 13.67 $ +4.79 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 15.19 $ +6.31 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 32.85 $ +23.97 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.77 $ +29.24 (+43.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

34.22 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7.41 $

at 3.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 6.27 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1232
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 6.28 $ +2.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.1109
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 11.59 $ +7.89 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0700–0.1109

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

35.52 $

at 8.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 13.67 $ +4.79 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 15.19 $ +6.31 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 32.85 $ +23.97 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.15 $ +17.42 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

7.57 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +5.83 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.1083

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

51.33 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

26.64 $

at 8.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 13.67 $ +4.79 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 15.19 $ +6.31 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 32.85 $ +23.97 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.54 $ +6.59 (+7.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

7.57 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) — 8.55 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +5.83 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.1079

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

8.55 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

11.11 $

at 3.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 6.27 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 6.28 $ +2.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.1096
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 11.59 $ +7.89 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0700–0.1096

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

44.40 $

at 8.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 13.67 $ +4.79 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 15.19 $ +6.31 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 32.85 $ +23.97 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.64 $ +24.56 (+34.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

9.53 $

at 4.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) — 4.93 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.64 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) — 7.57 $ +2.81 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1149

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

25.66 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

44.40 $

at 8.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 13.67 $ +4.79 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 15.19 $ +6.31 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 32.85 $ +23.97 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.59 $ +14.16 (+17.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.32 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

106.30 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

61.86 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071764

69.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.057646

109.05 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

130.58 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3399891 · The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 28.82$ · invest 68.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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