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Crafts · The Operation Broken Fang Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −38.06$

Invest at least 107.45$

Average return 69.39$

ROI −35.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 107.45 $, profit at most −38.06 $

float premium: at least 61 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +30.48 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

14.29 $

at 4.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) — 4.93 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.64 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) — 7.57 $ +2.81 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1156

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

29.47 $

at 4.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 5.25 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 6.47 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 8.86 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.76 $ +25.63 (+58.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −90 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

4.21 $

at 4.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 5.25 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 6.47 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 8.86 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0132

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.85 $ +25.94 (+27.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

9.53 $

at 4.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) — 4.93 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.1689
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.64 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.1689
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) — 7.57 $ +2.81 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

17.11 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

25.26 $

at 4.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 5.25 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 6.47 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 8.86 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.90 $ +25.90 (+49.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

14.88 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

8.42 $

at 4.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 5.25 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 6.47 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 8.86 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.18 $ +28.21 (+33.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

59.88 $

at 8.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.69 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 13.40 $ +4.84 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) — 14.88 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

12.63 $

at 4.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) — 5.25 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) — 6.47 $ +2.26 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) — 8.86 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.51 $ +30.48 (+42.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.031249

35.01 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.031818

33.48 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator

Factory New

float up to 0.048295

83.97 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202.65 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.055681

109.05 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.039772

130.58 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3376975 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 20.43$ · invest 43.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −25 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161699 instead of 0.165280
Craft 3389688 · The Gallery Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19.38$ · invest 46.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −35 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165201 instead of 0.165280

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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