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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −115.92$

Invest at least 249.72$

Average return 133.80$

ROI −46.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 249.72 $, profit at most −115.92 $

float premium: at least 138 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3.38 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

59.52 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

43.41 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.93 $ +30.87 (+30.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −109 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

104.16 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

21.70 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125.86 $ +5.13 (+4.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

89.28 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

28.94 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.22 $ +13.71 (+11.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

74.40 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 15.40 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.85 $ +3.97 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 29.12 $ +14.24 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

36.17 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.57 $ +22.29 (+20.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 28%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.05 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

158.17 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.85 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.031891

202.65 $ 13.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.013243

109.05 $ 13.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

130.58 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build