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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −70 744.65₸

Invest at least 335 250.68₸

Average return 264 506.09₸

ROI −21.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 335 250.68 ₸, profit at most −70 744.65 ₸

float premium: at least 110 349 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −48 875.29 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

18 115.28 ₸

at 18 115.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 18 526.62 ₸ +411.33 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 29 914.45 ₸ +11 799.16 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1158

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

112 593.80 ₸

at 12 510.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 19 983.44 ₸ +7 473.02 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 341.77 ₸ +9 831.35 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1039
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 242.31 ₸ +18 731.89 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130 709.08 ₸ +133 797.01 (+102.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 365 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

82 870.28 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0882
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0543

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

87 572.95 ₸

at 12 510.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 19 983.44 ₸ +7 473.02 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 341.77 ₸ +9 831.35 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1093
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 242.31 ₸ +18 731.89 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 170 443.24 ₸ +91 509.53 (+53.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 775 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

110 493.71 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0879
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0540

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

75 062.53 ₸

at 12 510.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 19 983.44 ₸ +7 473.02 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 341.77 ₸ +9 831.35 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1082
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 242.31 ₸ +18 731.89 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185 556.24 ₸ +75 119.90 (+40.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −99 185 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

138 117.14 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

62 552.11 ₸

at 12 510.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 19 983.44 ₸ +7 473.02 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 341.77 ₸ +9 831.35 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 242.31 ₸ +18 731.89 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200 669.25 ₸ +58 730.26 (+29.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −134 595 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

165 740.57 ₸

at 27 623.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 37 236.35 ₸ +9 612.92 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 74 999.43 ₸ +47 376.00 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

50 041.69 ₸

at 12 510.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 19 983.44 ₸ +7 473.02 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 22 341.77 ₸ +9 831.35 ₸ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1050
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 31 242.31 ₸ +18 731.89 ₸ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 215 782.25 ₸ +42 340.62 (+19.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414 222.85 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

144 471.10 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 244.86 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

483 692.73 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +109 751.58 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +132 807.87 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400316 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 144 447.59₸ · invest 120 550.19₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074252
Craft 3396720 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 132 228.16₸ · invest 120 895.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074252

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build