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The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +25.93$

Invest 391.69$

Average return 417.63$

ROI +6.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 930.29 $, profit at most −512.66 $

float premium: at least 518 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +44.44 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −267.77 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

65.03 $

at 32.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) — 35.52 $ +3.00 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 39.76 $ +7.24 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 49.69 $ +17.18 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0035

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

96.62 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +13.80 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0700–0.1468
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +18.45 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1468

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

230.04 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0622

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 391.69 $ +25.93 (+6.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

32.52 $

at 32.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) — 35.52 $ +3.00 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 39.76 $ +7.24 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 49.69 $ +17.18 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

51.51 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1685
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0775

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

322.06 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 406.09 $ +44.44 (+10.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

97.55 $

at 32.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) — 35.52 $ +3.00 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) — 39.76 $ +7.24 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) — 49.69 $ +17.18 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

96.62 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +13.80 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.0700–0.1497
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +18.45 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1497

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

184.03 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0623

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 378.20 $ +6.52 (+1.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

267.51 $ 40.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.25 $ 40.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.027272

154.28 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

167.37 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire

Factory New

float up to 0.022727

210.95 $ 6.67%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build