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The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +16 975.37₸

Invest 24 460.87₸

Average return 41 436.24₸

ROI +69.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 62 413.99 ₸, profit at most −20 977.75 ₸

float premium: at least 30 004 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 888 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

4 081.11 ₸

at 4 081.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) — 4 097.99 ₸ +16.87 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 4 556.17 ₸ +475.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 5 852.71 ₸ +1 771.59 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0858

20 379.76 ₸

at 2 264.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 3 403.43 ₸ +1 139.01 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0703
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 3 492.18 ₸ +1 227.76 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1022
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4 077.18 ₸ +1 812.76 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 460.87 ₸ +16 975.37 (+69.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 462 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

16 324.46 ₸

at 4 081.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) — 4 097.99 ₸ +16.87 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 4 556.17 ₸ +475.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 5 852.71 ₸ +1 771.59 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0864

13 586.50 ₸

at 2 264.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 3 403.43 ₸ +1 139.01 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0713
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 3 492.18 ₸ +1 227.76 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1024
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4 077.18 ₸ +1 812.76 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 910.96 ₸ +3 778.15 (+12.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 271 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

12 243.34 ₸

at 4 081.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) — 4 097.99 ₸ +16.87 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 4 556.17 ₸ +475.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 5 852.71 ₸ +1 771.59 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0862

15 850.92 ₸

at 2 264.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 3 403.43 ₸ +1 139.01 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 3 492.18 ₸ +1 227.76 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4 077.18 ₸ +1 812.76 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 094.26 ₸ +8 177.24 (+29.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 080 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

8 162.23 ₸

at 4 081.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) — 4 097.99 ₸ +16.87 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 4 556.17 ₸ +475.05 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 5 852.71 ₸ +1 771.59 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0860

18 115.34 ₸

at 2 264.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 3 403.43 ₸ +1 139.01 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 3 492.18 ₸ +1 227.76 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4 077.18 ₸ +1 812.76 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 277.57 ₸ +12 576.28 (+47.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 933.13 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

214 647.63 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

6 198.69 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 000.18 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 327.22 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

47 148.74 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

13 858.65 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

14 720.34 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

16 569.83 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.006891

12 323.37 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 013.76 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 979.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401033 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18 600.40₸ · invest 21 807.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 726 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085851
Craft 3396710 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18 473.86₸ · invest 22 449.36₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 488 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085941 instead of 0.085851
Craft 3373919 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18 231.25₸ · invest 23 141.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 865 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085457 instead of 0.085851
Craft 3374234 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 17 724.03₸ · invest 22 960.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 943 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085294 instead of 0.085851

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build