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Crafts · The Operation Riptide Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −37.87$

Invest at least 128.27$

Average return 90.40$

ROI −29.5%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 128.27 $, profit at most −37.87 $

float premium: at least 61 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

4.57 $

at 4.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +1.95 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) — 6.71 $ +2.14 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) — 7.14 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0859

45.02 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.52 $ +2.52 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1022
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.59 $ +40.81 (+82.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

18.29 $

at 4.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +1.95 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) — 6.71 $ +2.14 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) — 7.14 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0869

30.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.52 $ +2.52 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0721
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1026
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.30 $ +21.59 (+44.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

13.71 $

at 4.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +1.95 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) — 6.71 $ +2.14 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) — 7.14 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0865

35.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.52 $ +2.52 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0715
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1024
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.73 $ +27.99 (+57.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9.14 $

at 4.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +1.95 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) — 6.71 $ +2.14 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) — 7.14 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0862

40.02 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.52 $ +2.52 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.16 $ +34.40 (+70.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.39 $

at 3.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) — 4.05 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New) — 4.57 $ +1.18 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0566
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +3.13 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0574

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

27.43 $

at 4.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) — 6.52 $ +1.95 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) — 6.71 $ +2.14 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) — 7.14 $ +2.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

15.01 $

at 5.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 7.71 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1015
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 10.92 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.82 $ +3.55 (+7.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.36 $ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.15 $ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

13.69 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11.05 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33.86 $ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

31.68 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.005540

16.56 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

74.12 $ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

9.98 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

33.60 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401033 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 41.09$ · invest 48.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −44 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085941
Craft 3373919 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 40.27$ · invest 51.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085457 instead of 0.085941
Craft 3374234 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 39.15$ · invest 50.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085294 instead of 0.085941
Craft 3396394 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37.50$ · invest 54.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −48 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085851 instead of 0.085941

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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