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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +10.91$

Invest 110.27$

Average return 121.18$

ROI +9.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 256.76 $, profit at most −135.59 $

float premium: at least 145 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +14.67 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

44.50 $

at 11.12

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) — 24.02 $ +12.89 $ per item · on the market 233 · buy 0.1500–0.2098

Steam

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

39.76 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.01 $ +3.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0393
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.91 $ +22.97 $ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1786

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

26.02 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0921
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1108

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.27 $ +10.91 (+9.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

11.12 $

at 11.12

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) — 24.02 $ +12.89 $ per item · on the market 233 · buy 0.1500–0.2106

Steam

×9

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

89.46 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.01 $ +3.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0396
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.91 $ +22.97 $ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1792

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.58 $ +6.80 (+6.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

66.74 $

at 11.12

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) — 24.02 $ +12.89 $ per item · on the market 233 · buy 0.1500–0.2088

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

21.56 $

at 21.56

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) — 47.53 $ +25.97 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

39.03 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0916
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1103

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.34 $ +7.64 (+6.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

33.37 $

at 11.12

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) — 24.02 $ +12.89 $ per item · on the market 233 · buy 0.1500–0.2066

Steam

×6

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

59.64 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.01 $ +3.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.91 $ +22.97 $ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1764

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

13.01 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0904
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.02 $ +10.56 (+10.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

66.74 $

at 11.12

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) — 24.02 $ +12.89 $ per item · on the market 233 · buy 0.1500–0.2052

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

9.94 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.01 $ +3.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0376
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.91 $ +22.97 $ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1753

Steam

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

39.03 $

at 13.01

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0896
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 178.53 $ +165.53 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1086

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.71 $ +14.67 (+12.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

171.09 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111.18 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

125.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.38 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build