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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9 947.71₸

Invest at least 16 348.47₸

Average return 6 400.76₸

ROI −60.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 16 348.47 ₸, profit at most −9 947.71 ₸

float premium: at least 9 155 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

915.29 ₸

at 915.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) — 927.95 ₸ +12.65 ₸ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.1500–0.1579
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) — 1 968.82 ₸ +1 053.53 ₸ per item · on the market 184 · buy 0.0700–0.1445

Steam

×9

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

5 464.43 ₸

at 607.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 911.24 ₸ +304.09 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1015
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 1 509.97 ₸ +902.81 ₸ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1473
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 2 588.58 ₸ +1 981.42 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1473

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 379.72 ₸ +21.03 (+0.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Field-Tested

float up to 0.161666

8 635.99 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 496.88 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106666

7 076.02 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

10 872.28 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133333

9 091.98 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −733.36 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −179.97 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392015 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.62₸ · invest 5 782.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166666 instead of 0.163776

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build