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The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −86.39$

Invest at least 277.40$

Average return 191.01$

ROI −31.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 277.40 $, profit at most −86.39 $

float premium: at least 153 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −111 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

15.72 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0408
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1817

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

8.89 $

at 8.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn) — 9.66 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.3800–0.4143
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 28.27 $ +19.38 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1500–0.2589

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

86.58 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0440
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0295

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.19 $ +79.82 (+71.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −123 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

47.16 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0458
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1916

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

75.76 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0595
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0399

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.92 $ +57.08 (+46.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −128 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

62.89 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1858

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

64.93 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0504
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0338

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.82 $ +46.67 (+36.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

78.61 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0400
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1801

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

54.11 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0414
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0277

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.72 $ +36.27 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −149 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

94.33 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0378
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1756

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.85 $

at 21.85

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 23.23 $ +1.38 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0800–0.0898
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 431.33 $ +409.48 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1000–0.1088

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

32.47 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0345
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0231

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.65 $ +9.33 (+6.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

325.52 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

126.46 $ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

119.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

206.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +77.73 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392618 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 88.28$ · invest 106.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384299 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164127 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3390740 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 86.36$ · invest 106.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3399580 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.33$ · invest 108.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −109 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3399500 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 85.15$ · invest 107.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −107 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3384131 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 83.89$ · invest 103.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165194 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3381079 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 83.02$ · invest 108.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −108 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384434 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164569 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3396550 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 82.56$ · invest 113.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −114 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.171267
Craft 3377152 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 81.63$ · invest 115.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −105 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385624 instead of 0.386472; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.171267

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build