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The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 146.48₸

Invest at least 7 050.32₸

Average return 4 903.84₸

ROI −30.4%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 7 050.32 ₸, profit at most −2 146.48 ₸

float premium: at least 3 754 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 860.96 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

780.99 ₸

at 260.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 320.56 ₸ +60.23 ₸ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0138
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +88.24 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0155
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 559.06 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1207

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1 282.25 ₸

at 320.56

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +28.01 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
UMP-45 | Corporal (Factory New) — 698.94 ₸ +378.38 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0500–0.0563
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 498.83 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1054

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

996.78 ₸

at 332.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 536.35 ₸ +204.09 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
Dual Berettas | Balance (Field-Tested) — 774.47 ₸ +442.21 ₸ per item · on the market 91 · buy 0.1500–0.1866
Nova | Plume (Minimal Wear) — 774.47 ₸ +442.21 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1493

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 060.03 ₸ +1 843.80 (+60.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −629 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1728

225.29 ₸

at 225.29

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) — 251.22 ₸ +25.93 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 264.32 ₸ +39.03 ₸ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 285.64 ₸ +60.34 ₸ per item · on the market 507 · buy 0.1500–0.2053

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

2 082.65 ₸

at 260.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 320.56 ₸ +60.23 ₸ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0159
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +88.24 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0179
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 559.06 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1239

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1728

332.26 ₸

at 332.26

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 354.03 ₸ +21.76 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 364.37 ₸ +32.11 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 536.35 ₸ +204.09 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0921

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 640.21 ₸ +791.51 (+30.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −188 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

2 082.65 ₸

at 260.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 320.56 ₸ +60.23 ₸ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0151
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +88.24 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0170
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 559.06 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1227

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

664.52 ₸

at 332.26

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 354.03 ₸ +21.76 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1585
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 364.37 ₸ +32.11 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1585
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 536.35 ₸ +204.09 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0891

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 747.18 ₸ +1 420.60 (+51.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 059 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

520.66 ₸

at 260.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 320.56 ₸ +60.23 ₸ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +88.24 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0162
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 559.06 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1216

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

996.78 ₸

at 332.26

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 354.03 ₸ +21.76 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1536
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 364.37 ₸ +32.11 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1536
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 536.35 ₸ +204.09 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0864

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 390.81 ₸

at 1 078.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 1 218.54 ₸ +140.37 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 1 359.02 ₸ +280.86 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1 525.66 ₸ +447.50 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 908.26 ₸ +1 675.87 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −311 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 602.82 ₸

at 320.56

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 348.57 ₸ +28.01 ₸ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
UMP-45 | Corporal (Factory New) — 698.94 ₸ +378.38 ₸ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0500–0.0571
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 1 819.40 ₸ +1 498.83 ₸ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1061

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

996.78 ₸

at 332.26

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 354.03 ₸ +21.76 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1511
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 364.37 ₸ +32.11 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1511
SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 536.35 ₸ +204.09 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.0850

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1 915.40 ₸

at 957.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 1 078.16 ₸ +120.46 ₸ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0184
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 1 218.54 ₸ +260.84 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 1 359.02 ₸ +401.32 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0000–0.0328

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 515.00 ₸ +1 860.96 (+41.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

1 299.52 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 672.74 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

3 023.31 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

2 404.34 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 897.01 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 043.43 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 724.10 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 608.38 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 550.65 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +824.41 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 485.90 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381134 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 320.49₸ · invest 2 602.98₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3394045 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 127.63₸ · invest 3 970.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164444 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3396887 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 057.41₸ · invest 2 792.34₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3397777 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 038.02₸ · invest 2 273.70₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161708 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3397384 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 745.71₸ · invest 2 988.10₸
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074488 instead of 0.074169; MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): float at most 0.003927 instead of 0.003648; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162904 instead of 0.161986

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build