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The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −4.04$

Invest at least 9.88$

Average return 5.84$

ROI −40.9%

Chance of profit 21%

With float: invest at least 9.88 $, profit at most −4.04 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1.88 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1.15 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0150
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0169
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +3.44 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1225

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.09 $

at 0.35

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 0.48 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0381
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0381

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

0.95 $

at 0.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 0.66 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 314 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 1.14 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.19 $ +1.65 (+39.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

0.58 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0162
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0182
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +3.44 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1243

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

2.09 $

at 0.35

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) — 0.38 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 276 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0784
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 0.48 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0392

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

1.43 $

at 0.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 0.66 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 314 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 1.14 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0000–0.0132

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.09 $ +1.54 (+37.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

3.45 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0181
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +3.44 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1242

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

1.39 $

at 0.35

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) — 0.38 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 276 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0782
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 0.48 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.84 $ +1.84 (+38.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

2.30 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0156
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0175
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +3.44 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1234

Steam

×5

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

1.74 $

at 0.35

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 0.48 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0386

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

0.48 $

at 0.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 0.66 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 314 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 1.14 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.52 $ +1.74 (+38.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

0.50 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.63 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 507 · buy 0.1500–0.2027
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0684

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4.60 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0153
Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy 0.0000–0.0172
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +3.44 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.1000–0.1230

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

0.35 $

at 0.35

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 0.48 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0384
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 0.50 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 551 · buy 0.0000–0.0384

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.45 $ +1.86 (+34.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

15.43 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.053888

6.15 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

3.67 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.036111

2.19 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.047222

3.72 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

12.53 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

6.68 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

5.31 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.62 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381155 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1.75$ · invest 3.79$
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075768 instead of 0.076345; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005047 instead of 0.005552
Craft 3396900 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1.69$ · invest 3.80$
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.076345; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.005552
Craft 3390070 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1.59$ · invest 3.76$
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076345; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005697 instead of 0.005552
Craft 3391413 · The Gamma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1.38$ · invest 3.78$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076345

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build