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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.41$

Invest at least 6.23$

Average return 2.82$

ROI −54.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 6.23 $, profit at most −3.41 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.50 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0700–0.0734
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.63 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 507 · buy 0.1500–0.1979
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0652

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.96 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 245 · buy 0.1500–0.1891
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 1 047 · buy 0.1500–0.2199
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 0.40 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.2199

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.46 $ +0.36 (+14.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

1.00 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 148 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.63 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 507 · buy 0.1500–0.2014
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 354 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

1.74 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 245 · buy 0.1500–0.1939
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 1 047 · buy 0.1500–0.2255
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 0.40 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 1 964 · buy 0.1500–0.2255

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.74 $ +0.05 (+1.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

2.09 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

2.48 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292857

2.87 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

3.16 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.207142

2.66 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081428

3.03 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.03 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3397890 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.37$ · invest 2.28$
Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163948 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3400896 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 0.37$ · invest 2.23$
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162348 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3381272 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.36$ · invest 2.33$
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165664 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3397892 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 2.28$
Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168690 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3399554 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 2.37$
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164140 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3391498 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.34$ · invest 2.39$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165261 instead of 0.164220
Craft 3400658 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.34$ · invest 2.40$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167496 instead of 0.164220

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build