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Crafts · The Phoenix Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +54.90$

Invest 59.97$

Average return 114.87$

ROI +91.5%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 155.54 $, profit at most −40.67 $

float premium: at least 90 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

55.33 $

at 6.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0280
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0738
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1369

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.64 $

at 4.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 6.21 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1026
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 6.67 $ +2.03 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +3.29 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.97 $ +54.90 (+91.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

5.50 $

at 5.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) — 6.15 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.2192
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0503
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.80 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

12.30 $

at 6.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1367

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

13.93 $

at 4.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 6.21 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1025
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 6.67 $ +2.03 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1681
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +3.29 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0672

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

31.73 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.45 $ +19.44 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

24.59 $

at 6.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0278
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1366

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.93 $

at 4.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 6.21 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1024
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 6.67 $ +2.03 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1678
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +3.29 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0671

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

23.80 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.31 $ +25.90 (+41.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

11.00 $

at 5.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) — 6.15 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.2150
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0485
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.80 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1278

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

18.44 $

at 6.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0269
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0710
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1355

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9.29 $

at 4.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 6.21 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1014
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 6.67 $ +2.03 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +3.29 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

23.80 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.52 $ +31.03 (+49.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

5.50 $

at 5.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) — 6.15 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.2144
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +6.37 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.80 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.1271

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

30.74 $

at 6.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $ +5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $ +9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $ +9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.1000–0.1353

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

9.29 $

at 4.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 6.21 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 6.67 $ +2.03 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +3.29 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0664

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

15.86 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.39 $ +37.49 (+61.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 63%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

369.74 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

21.71 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

23.23 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

39.68 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

119.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

71.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +39.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3394353 · The Huntsman Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 53.42$ · invest 65.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162881 instead of 0.166502
Craft 3395919 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 53.27$ · invest 63.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163943 instead of 0.166502
Craft 3397395 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 52.85$ · invest 64.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −59 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 3397515 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 52.50$ · invest 61.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 3397553 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 50.04$ · invest 68.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164439 instead of 0.166502

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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