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The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −85.44$

Invest at least 158.37$

Average return 72.93$

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 158.37 $, profit at most −85.44 $

float premium: at least 90 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +8.70 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×3

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

17.82 $

at 5.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 6.65 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.1500–0.2818
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 6.73 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.2644

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2578

40.81 $

at 6.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 33.45 $ +26.65 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0635
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 35.66 $ +28.86 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1400–0.1472

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

7.26 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1747

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65.88 $ +7.05 (+10.7%)

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3879

5.94 $

at 5.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 6.65 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.1500–0.2883
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 6.73 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.2679

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2648

40.81 $

at 6.80

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 6.73 $ cheaper by 0.07 $ · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.1537
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 16.36 $ +9.55 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0756

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1762

21.77 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1253
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1864

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.52 $ +7.41 (+10.8%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

11.88 $

at 5.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 6.65 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.1500–0.2852
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 6.73 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.2663

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2615

40.81 $

at 6.80

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 6.73 $ cheaper by 0.07 $ · on the market 200 · buy 0.1500–0.1507
AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 33.45 $ +26.65 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0699

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

14.52 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1211
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1809

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.20 $ +7.23 (+10.8%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

40.41 $

at 6.73

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 6.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.2500–0.2751
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 16.36 $ +9.62 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

29.03 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1161
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1742

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.44 $ +7.99 (+11.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

6.73 $

at 6.73

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 6.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.2500–0.2744
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 16.36 $ +9.62 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0921

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2571

27.20 $

at 6.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 33.45 $ +26.65 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0623
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 35.66 $ +28.86 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1400–0.1466

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

36.29 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1156
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1736

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.23 $ +8.70 (+12.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

72.80 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

93.28 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

105.52 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398239 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 6.80$ · invest 72.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383868 instead of 0.384230; R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested): float at most 0.257184 instead of 0.257857
Craft 3379810 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.45$ · invest 71.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384858 instead of 0.384230; R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested): float at most 0.259023 instead of 0.257857

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build