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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +155.41$

Invest 84.38$

Average return 239.79$

ROI +184.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 213.58 $, profit at most +26.20 $

float premium: at least 126 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2773
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

17.71 $

at 17.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested) — 23.30 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2735
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) — 36.06 $ +18.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.3800–0.3833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.38 $ +155.41 (+184.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2839
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1086

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1819
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.26 $ +145.03 (+146.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2758
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0945

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1748
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1165

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.86 $ +136.94 (+122.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2754
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0938

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2576

49.47 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0632
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1471

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

80.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1744
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.30 $ +109.00 (+75.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2574

61.84 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0627
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1468

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

80.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1740
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1159

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

44.77 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0904
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.63 $ +71.18 (+38.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

244.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

400.08 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +135.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +148.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395970 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 169.23$ · invest 93.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3395971 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 166.19$ · invest 101.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −101 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3394396 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.43$ · invest 111.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3393889 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.33$ · invest 76.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3387361 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 159.75$ · invest 77.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3398216 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 157.92$ · invest 78.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3396468 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.49$ · invest 85.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −85 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3389852 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.34$ · invest 75.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3379811 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 156.76$ · invest 81.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3398089 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 155.85$ · invest 75.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3380976 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 155.66$ · invest 79.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167723 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3391887 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.75$ · invest 75.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3390649 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.53$ · invest 77.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3397626 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.36$ · invest 75.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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