StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 3398136 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×9
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1653
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
30 180.40 ₸
at 3 353.38
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸+2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy0.2500–0.2773
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸+6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0700–0.0972
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165362f′ (normalized) 0.049731wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 20 407.82 ₸ (float 0.1609) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Well-Worn
buy0.3800–0.3846
8 016.46 ₸
at 8 016.46
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested) — 10 550.03 ₸+2 533.58 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.1500–0.2735
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) — 16 324.40 ₸+8 307.94 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.3800–0.3833
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 8 422.67 ₸ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 4) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs38 196.86 ₸
+70 355.08
(+184.2%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −35 305 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −35 305 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 9% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×8
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1714
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
26 827.02 ₸
at 3 353.38
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸+2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy0.2500–0.2839
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸+6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0700–0.1086
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171487f′ (normalized) 0.061739wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 20 407.82 ₸ (float 0.1609) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1714
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
18 110.05 ₸
at 9 055.03
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸+7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.1500–0.1819
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸+14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.0700–0.1219
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171487f′ (normalized) 0.190541wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 26) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs44 937.08 ₸
+65 654.32
(+146.1%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −36 190 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −36 190 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1639
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
23 473.65 ₸
at 3 353.38
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸+2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy0.2500–0.2758
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸+6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0700–0.0945
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163936f′ (normalized) 0.046934wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 20 407.82 ₸ (float 0.1609) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1639
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
27 165.08 ₸
at 9 055.03
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸+7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.1500–0.1748
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸+14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.0700–0.1165
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163936f′ (normalized) 0.182151wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 26) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs50 638.72 ₸
+61 992.19
(+122.4%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −46 060 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −46 060 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1635
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
6 706.76 ₸
at 3 353.38
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸+2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy0.2500–0.2754
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸+6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0700–0.0938
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163554f′ (normalized) 0.046185wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 20 407.82 ₸ (float 0.1609) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
buy0.2500–0.2576
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
22 397.17 ₸
at 5 599.29
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 30 171.07 ₸+24 571.77 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0500–0.0632
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 39 052.87 ₸+33 453.58 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.1400–0.1471
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.257661f′ (normalized) 0.013929wear 0.2500–0.3800on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 36) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1635
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
36 220.10 ₸
at 9 055.03
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸+7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.1500–0.1744
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸+14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.0700–0.1163
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163554f′ (normalized) 0.181727wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 26) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs65 324.03 ₸
+49 346.35
(+75.5%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −60 406 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −60 406 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
buy0.2500–0.2574
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
27 996.46 ₸
at 5 599.29
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 30 171.07 ₸+24 571.77 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy0.0500–0.0627
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 39 052.87 ₸+33 453.58 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.1400–0.1468
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.257401f′ (normalized) 0.013458wear 0.2500–0.3800on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 36) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1630
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
36 220.10 ₸
at 9 055.03
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 16 732.47 ₸+7 677.45 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy0.1500–0.1740
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 23 320.62 ₸+14 265.59 ₸ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.0700–0.1159
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163095f′ (normalized) 0.181217wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 8 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 26) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
20 269.70 ₸
at 20 269.70
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 27 175.59 ₸+6 905.90 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0700–0.0904
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 39 052.87 ₸+18 783.18 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.0000–0.0530
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074555f′ (normalized) 0.082838wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 39 475.91 ₸sell now to a buy order: 39 464.43 ₸
(you get 34 316.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 637
sell on Market.CSGO: 32 820.55 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 35 987.50 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 31 557.87 ₸listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 32 875.27 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 34 111.13 ₸listings: 48
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
205 502.67 ₸45.00%
price without dealsrarely sells
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)net 178 697.98 ₸
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 205 502.67 ₸no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 160 021.15 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 175 461.80 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 147 875.27 ₸listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 158 826.17 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 151 700.60 ₸listings: 33
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
110 769.90 ₸5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 96 321.64 ₸The Shadow Collectionsells 1 a weeknow 110 769.90 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 115 740.05 ₸sell now to a buy order: 103 544.00 ₸
(you get 90 038.26 ₸)) · buy orders: 637
sell on Market.CSGO: 84 355.45 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 92 495.07 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 76 117.41 ₸listings: 42
on CS.Money: ~ 82 070.45 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 86 067.82 ₸listings: 50
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 181 116.94 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 148 736.35 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 163 088.15 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 133 542.75 ₸listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 142 451.89 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 139 880.58 ₸listings: 40
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) × 97% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.6330 180.40 → 79 374.46 ₸
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) × 17% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.168 016.46 → 17 315.54 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.087499900
outcomes come out up to 0.061249, 0.069999, 0.087499, 0.087499
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+61 479.23 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+67 416.69 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
14 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3395970
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 76 613.05₸
· invest 42 178.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −42 179 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3395971
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 75 235.48₸
· invest 45 927.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −45 927 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3394396
· The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 73 534.07₸
· invest 50 349.15₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 730 ₸marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3393889
· The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 73 487.66₸
· invest 34 488.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 489 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3387361
· The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 72 320.32₸
· invest 34 966.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 967 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3398216
· The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 71 492.66₸
· invest 35 427.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −35 428 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3396468
· The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 71 298.31₸
· invest 38 482.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −38 482 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3389852
· The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 71 227.84₸
· invest 34 086.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 087 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3379811
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70 963.60₸
· invest 36 916.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 917 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3398089
· The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 70 551.96₸
· invest 34 205.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 205 ₸rare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3380976
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70 466.76₸
· invest 35 908.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −35 908 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167723 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3391887
· The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70 056.09₸
· invest 34 345.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 346 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3390649
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 69 956.71₸
· invest 35 214.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 687 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
Craft 3397626
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 69 878.84₸
· invest 34 148.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 148 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.165362
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.