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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −87.61$

Invest at least 210.12$

Average return 122.51$

ROI −41.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 210.12 $, profit at most −87.61 $

float premium: at least 124 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +50.66 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2783
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0990

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4819

16.10 $

at 16.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested) — 23.30 $ +7.20 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.3427
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) — 30.68 $ +14.57 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.4500–0.4751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.77 $ +39.74 (+48.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2837
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1082

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1817
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1217

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.86 $ +45.72 (+40.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2767
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0962

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

17.71 $

at 17.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested) — 23.30 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2734
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) — 36.06 $ +18.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.3800–0.3831

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1756
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1172

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.97 $ +43.07 (+44.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2751
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

80.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1742
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1161

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.45 $ +50.66 (+40.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2744
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0921

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2571

49.47 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0623
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1466

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

100.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1736
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1156

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.89 $ +35.76 (+22.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

154.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

244.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

400.08 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3391889 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 37.47$ · invest 75.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168640 instead of 0.166322

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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