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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

$≈

The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +28.81$

Invest 79.63$

Average return 108.44$

ROI +36.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 192.86 $, profit at most −84.42 $

float premium: at least 111 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3859

12.65 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3203
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4445

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2819
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1051

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3859

15.13 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +25.88 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.3175
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) — 44.72 $ +29.59 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2894

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.63 $ +28.81 (+36.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2849
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1104

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3868

30.26 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +25.88 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.3179
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) — 44.72 $ +29.59 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2901

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

35.15 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2193
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1293

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.86 $ +24.85 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1721

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2847
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1099

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3867

15.13 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +25.88 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.3179
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) — 44.72 $ +29.59 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2900

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1721

87.88 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2192
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1291

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.64 $ +19.58 (+14.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −135 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2843
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1093

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

140.60 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2190
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1289

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 155.42 $ +14.32 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3853

6.32 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3200
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4441

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2795
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3853

30.26 $

at 15.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +25.88 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.3172
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) — 44.72 $ +29.59 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2889

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88.44 $ +28.75 (+32.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

75.03 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

154.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

293.94 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

136.73 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395973 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 30.44$ · invest 91.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383801 instead of 0.385974; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162491 instead of 0.169631
Craft 3379815 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 27.85$ · invest 76.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387127 instead of 0.385974; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173418 instead of 0.169631

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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