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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +35.81$

Invest at least 200.37$

Average return 236.18$

ROI +17.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 200.37 $, profit at most +35.81 $

float premium: at least 119 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2823
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1059

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

11.59 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1439
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1190

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.26 $ +157.92 (+201.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −125 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2826
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1064

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

95.17 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0539

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.80 $ +115.89 (+92.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

22.22 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2803
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1024

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

111.03 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.25 $ +108.33 (+81.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

44.44 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2781
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0986

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

11.59 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1412
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1162

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

47.58 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0806
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0529

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.62 $ +135.26 (+130.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2769
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0966

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

126.89 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0804
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.71 $ +100.78 (+71.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

388.27 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

173.59 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +137.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +150.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395970 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 169.23$ · invest 93.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3395971 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 166.19$ · invest 101.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −101 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3394396 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.43$ · invest 111.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3393889 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.33$ · invest 76.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3387361 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 159.75$ · invest 77.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3396468 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.49$ · invest 85.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −85 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3389852 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.34$ · invest 75.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3379811 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 156.76$ · invest 81.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3398089 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 155.85$ · invest 75.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3380976 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 155.66$ · invest 79.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167723 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3398136 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.41$ · invest 84.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3391887 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.75$ · invest 75.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.170031
Craft 3390649 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.53$ · invest 77.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3397626 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.36$ · invest 75.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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