Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3398283 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
9.34 $
at 1.87
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) — 3.21 $+1.34 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0000–0.0095
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New) — 6.67 $+4.80 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy0.0000–0.0076
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) — 17.76 $+15.89 $ per item · on the market 154 · buy0.0000–0.0085
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003815f′ (normalized) 0.009537wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 318 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 184 · from 13.57 $ (float 0.0002) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1625
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
4.19 $
at 2.09
if this one runs out, you can take
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) — 2.83 $+0.73 $ per item · on the market 929 · buy0.1500–0.2127
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+3.17 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.1137
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162535f′ (normalized) 0.162535wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 446 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 175 · from 7.29 $ (float 0.1576) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1625
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
8.48 $
at 2.83
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+2.44 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.0763
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) — 7.08 $+4.25 $ per item · on the market 167 · buy0.0700–0.1090
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162535f′ (normalized) 0.109080wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 929 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.55 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 33 of 554 · from 11.08 $ (float 0.1530) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs22.01 $
+29.81
(+135.4%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
1.87 $
at 1.87
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) — 3.21 $+1.34 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0000–0.0113
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New) — 6.67 $+4.80 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy0.0000–0.0090
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) — 17.76 $+15.89 $ per item · on the market 154 · buy0.0000–0.0101
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004522f′ (normalized) 0.011305wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 318 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 184 · from 13.57 $ (float 0.0002) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
16.97 $
at 2.83
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+2.44 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.0780
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) — 7.08 $+4.25 $ per item · on the market 167 · buy0.0700–0.1115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164858f′ (normalized) 0.111552wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 929 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.55 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 34 of 554 · from 11.08 $ (float 0.1530) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(4% of this wear's listings)
32.72 $
at 10.91
if this one runs out, you can take
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New) — 15.47 $+4.56 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy0.0000–0.0064
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) — 201.59 $+190.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0600–0.0660
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004522f′ (normalized) 0.006460wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 151 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28.60 $ · among lots up to 36.57 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 12 of 287 · from 15.61 $ (float 0.0022) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs51.56 $
+34.85
(+67.6%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
3.73 $
at 1.87
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) — 3.21 $+1.34 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0000–0.0108
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New) — 6.67 $+4.80 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy0.0000–0.0087
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) — 17.76 $+15.89 $ per item · on the market 154 · buy0.0000–0.0097
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004354f′ (normalized) 0.010885wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 318 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 184 · from 13.57 $ (float 0.0002) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1643
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
16.97 $
at 2.83
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+2.44 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.0776
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) — 7.08 $+4.25 $ per item · on the market 167 · buy0.0700–0.1109
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164306f′ (normalized) 0.110964wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 929 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.55 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 34 of 554 · from 11.08 $ (float 0.1530) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(4% of this wear's listings)
21.81 $
at 10.91
if this one runs out, you can take
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New) — 15.47 $+4.56 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy0.0000–0.0062
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) — 201.59 $+190.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0600–0.0658
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004354f′ (normalized) 0.006220wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 151 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28.60 $ · among lots up to 36.57 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 12 of 287 · from 15.61 $ (float 0.0022) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs42.52 $
+35.25
(+82.9%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×3
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
5.60 $
at 1.87
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) — 3.21 $+1.34 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0000–0.0104
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New) — 6.67 $+4.80 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy0.0000–0.0083
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) — 17.76 $+15.89 $ per item · on the market 154 · buy0.0000–0.0094
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004198f′ (normalized) 0.010495wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 318 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 184 · from 13.57 $ (float 0.0002) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1637
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
16.97 $
at 2.83
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+2.44 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.0772
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) — 7.08 $+4.25 $ per item · on the market 167 · buy0.0700–0.1104
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163794f′ (normalized) 0.110419wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 929 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.55 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 34 of 554 · from 11.08 $ (float 0.1530) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(4% of this wear's listings)
10.91 $
at 10.91
if this one runs out, you can take
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New) — 15.47 $+4.56 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy0.0000–0.0059
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) — 201.59 $+190.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0600–0.0656
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004198f′ (normalized) 0.005997wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 151 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 28.60 $ · among lots up to 36.57 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 12 of 287 · from 15.61 $ (float 0.0022) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs33.48 $
+35.64
(+106.5%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×4
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
7.47 $
at 1.87
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) — 3.21 $+1.34 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0000–0.0101
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New) — 6.67 $+4.80 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy0.0000–0.0081
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) — 17.76 $+15.89 $ per item · on the market 154 · buy0.0000–0.0091
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004052f′ (normalized) 0.010132wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 318 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 184 · from 13.57 $ (float 0.0002) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1633
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
16.97 $
at 2.83
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear) — 5.26 $+2.44 $ per item · on the market 319 · buy0.0700–0.0769
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) — 7.08 $+4.25 $ per item · on the market 167 · buy0.0700–0.1099
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163316f′ (normalized) 0.109911wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 929 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.55 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 34 of 554 · from 11.08 $ (float 0.1530) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 10 pcs24.44 $
+36.03
(+147.4%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
5 outcomes
Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
156.05 $25.00%
SteamM4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)net 135.70 $The Train 2025 Collectionsells 12 a weekmonth average 156.05 $, sold 30 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 164.86 $
(you get 143.35 $)) · buy orders: 1525
sell on Market.CSGO: 140.43 $ to your card
cheapest lot 153.98 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 130.00 $listings: 172
on CS.Money: ~ 140.29 $
on Lis-Skins: from 129.55 $listings: 175
month average 62.59 $, sold 48 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 63.48 $
(you get 55.20 $)) · buy orders: 1605
sell on Market.CSGO: 53.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 59.10 · lots 40
on CSFloat: from 51.27 $listings: 184
on CS.Money: ~ 53.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 50.61 $listings: 130
at a loss
AUG | Momentum
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.116499
16.35 $16.67%
SteamAUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear)net 14.22 $sells 36 a weeknow 16.35 $ — cheaper than the month average 17.81 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 12.54 $ to your card
cheapest lot 13.75 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 12.35 $listings: 113
on CS.Money: ~ 12.86 $
on Lis-Skins: from 13.19 $listings: 109
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
float up to 0.288499
6.80 $16.67%
SteamR8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)net 5.91 $sells 107 a weeknow 6.80 $ — cheaper than the month average 8.52 $sell now to a buy order: 6.40 $
(you get 5.57 $)) · buy orders: 8285
sell on Market.CSGO: 5.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 6.32 · lots 29
on CSFloat: from 5.23 $listings: 209
on CS.Money: ~ 5.09 $
on Lis-Skins: from 5.71 $listings: 112
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
float up to 0.175699
6.42 $16.67%
SteamXM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)net 5.58 $sells 244 a weeknow 6.42 $ — cheaper than the month average 6.97 $sell now to a buy order: 6.30 $
(you get 5.48 $)) · buy orders: 12256
sell on Market.CSGO: 5.45 $ to your card
cheapest lot 5.98 · lots 65
on CSFloat: from 4.88 $listings: 275
on CS.Money: ~ 4.95 $
on Lis-Skins: from 5.41 $listings: 263
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) × 55% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.479.34 → 23.06 $
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.214.19 → 9.26 $
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 35% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.268.48 → 19.17 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.069999900
outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.116499, 0.288499, 0.175699
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+20.73 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+27.21 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
10 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3390891
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.64$
· invest 22.30$
sells slowlyrare inputs
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163036 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163036 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3391502
· The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 37.31$
· invest 26.76$
sells slowlyrare inputs
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162712 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162712 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3400543
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.96$
· invest 23.04$
sells slowlyrare inputs
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3388531
· The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.14$
· invest 21.24$
sells slowly
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164344 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164344 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3382987
· The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.43$
· invest 21.50$
sells slowlyrare inputs
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3398924
· The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.37$
· invest 19.83$
sells slowlyrare inputs
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164970 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164970 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3400544
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.64$
· invest 22.28$
sells slowlyrare inputs
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164168 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164168 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3384353
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.43$
· invest 22.67$
Craft 3400398
· The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.37$
· invest 23.61$
sells slowlyrare inputs
MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162977 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162977 instead of 0.162535
Craft 3389326
· The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.30$
· invest 20.68$
sells slowly
Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163617 instead of 0.162535; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163617 instead of 0.162535
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.