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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +1 234.39₴

Invest at least 9 174.23₴

Average return 10 408.62₴

ROI +13.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 9 174.23 ₴, profit at most +1 234.39 ₴

float premium: at least 5 455 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 588 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

3 029.05 ₴

at 336.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 561.97 ₴ +225.41 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2741
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 996.67 ₴ +660.11 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0917

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4796

559.18 ₴

at 559.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 846.10 ₴ +286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.1500–0.3597
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Field-Tested) — 1 131.66 ₴ +572.48 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.1500–0.2398

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 588.23 ₴ +6 820.39 (+190.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 910 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

2 692.49 ₴

at 336.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 561.97 ₴ +225.41 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2862
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 996.67 ₴ +660.11 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1126

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

1 217.09 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1302
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0868

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 909.57 ₴ +6 217.58 (+159.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 182 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

2 355.93 ₴

at 336.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 561.97 ₴ +225.41 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2793
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 996.67 ₴ +660.11 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

1 825.63 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1254
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 181.56 ₴ +5 664.12 (+135.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 013 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

336.56 ₴

at 336.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 561.97 ₴ +225.41 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2768
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 996.67 ₴ +660.11 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0964

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2584

1 123.94 ₴

at 561.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 3 028.11 ₴ +2 466.14 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0645
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 3 919.53 ₴ +3 357.56 ₴ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1478

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

1 825.63 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1236
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0824

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

4 726.43 ₴

at 1 181.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +2 261.49 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0563
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +3 362.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 012.56 ₴ +707.25 (+8.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 679 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

1 682.80 ₴

at 336.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 561.97 ₴ +225.41 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2736
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 996.67 ₴ +660.11 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2567

561.97 ₴

at 561.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 3 028.11 ₴ +2 466.14 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0616
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 3 919.53 ₴ +3 357.56 ₴ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1462

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

2 434.17 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1214
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0809

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 678.95 ₴ +4 885.26 (+104.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

3 961.99 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 625.22 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

9 705.02 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

8 408.40 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 908.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 534.96 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3393890 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 7 324.35₴ · invest 3 353.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 354 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3398031 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 7 009.01₴ · invest 3 239.94₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 114 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164876 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3378004 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 911.44₴ · invest 3 368.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 264 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172159 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3397627 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 910.92₴ · invest 3 316.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 164 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165422 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3392514 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 904.78₴ · invest 3 524.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 089 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176265 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3386098 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 878.63₴ · invest 3 306.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 068 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3389054 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 868.29₴ · invest 3 264.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 264 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3382679 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 835.20₴ · invest 3 206.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 206 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168883 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3391261 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 820.44₴ · invest 3 522.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 522 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3379812 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 816.30₴ · invest 3 590.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 591 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3387362 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 782.33₴ · invest 3 409.31₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 152 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3398161 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 6 755.26₴ · invest 3 716.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 717 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3384002 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 728.00₴ · invest 3 362.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 069 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3396469 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 705.74₴ · invest 3 801.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 802 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3380977 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 687.25₴ · invest 3 582.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 582 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3378005 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 666.57₴ · invest 3 368.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 955 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172440 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3397628 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 661.00₴ · invest 3 316.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 960 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3382680 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 658.84₴ · invest 3 206.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 076 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3377065 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6 643.09₴ · invest 3 917.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 978 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173295 instead of 0.162402

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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