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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +147.41$

Invest 94.12$

Average return 241.53$

ROI +156.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 234.64 $, profit at most +6.89 $

float premium: at least 138 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2741
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0917

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4796

27.46 $

at 27.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) — 62.12 $ +34.66 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.1500–0.2398
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +53.06 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.2438

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.12 $ +147.41 (+156.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2862
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1126

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

59.06 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1520
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0868

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.32 $ +129.46 (+109.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −140 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2793
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

88.59 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1501
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 140.44 $ +113.59 (+80.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −209 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2569

61.84 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0620
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1464

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

147.64 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 167.99 $ +138.46 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1486

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.49 $ +57.04 (+27.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

37.04 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2736
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2567

12.37 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.65 $ +54.28 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0616
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 86.27 $ +73.90 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1462

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

118.11 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 167.99 $ +138.46 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1485

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.52 $ +92.75 (+55.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

568.83 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

116.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +128.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +141.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398334 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 148.37$ · invest 95.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3398335 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 147.17$ · invest 91.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −92 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3398241 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 145.78$ · invest 89.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171874 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3381784 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 145.08$ · invest 87.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −88 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166835 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3381785 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 140.49$ · invest 83.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173223 instead of 0.162402
Craft 3374136 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 134.14$ · invest 93.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −94 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166058 instead of 0.162402

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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