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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −82.34$

Invest at least 164.52$

Average return 82.18$

ROI −50.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 164.52 $, profit at most −82.34 $

float premium: at least 94 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

46.13 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1221
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1343

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1848
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1241

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.13 $ +16.05 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

41.00 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1208
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1329

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1830
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1227

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 81.01 $ +11.00 (+13.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

35.88 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1195
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1314

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.88 $ +5.94 (+6.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

30.75 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1182
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

80.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1795
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1201

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.76 $ +0.89 (+0.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

31.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

140.45 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

251.89 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398893 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 16.57$ · invest 68.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.174531
Craft 3387409 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.84$ · invest 56.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176470 instead of 0.174531
Craft 3397290 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.34$ · invest 61.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179566 instead of 0.174531
Craft 3398951 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 14.92$ · invest 59.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176470 instead of 0.174531

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build