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Crafts · The Recoil Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +26.92₴

Invest 117.83₴

Average return 144.75₴

ROI +22.9%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 296.69 ₴, profit at most −151.95 ₴

float premium: at least 177 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

89.76 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.35 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 12.29 ₴ +2.31 ₴ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 13.96 ₴ +3.99 ₴ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.06 ₴

at 28.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) — 38.15 ₴ +10.08 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) — 87.79 ₴ +59.73 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) — 88.18 ₴ +60.12 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.83 ₴ +26.92 (+22.9%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

79.79 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.35 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 12.29 ₴ +2.31 ₴ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 13.96 ₴ +3.99 ₴ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

16.39 ₴

at 16.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) — 19.30 ₴ +2.92 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) — 23.40 ₴ +7.02 ₴ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) — 28.06 ₴ +11.68 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.06 ₴

at 28.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) — 38.15 ₴ +10.08 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) — 87.79 ₴ +59.73 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) — 88.18 ₴ +60.12 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.24 ₴ +22.74 (+18.3%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

69.82 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.35 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 12.29 ₴ +2.31 ₴ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 13.96 ₴ +3.99 ₴ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

32.77 ₴

at 16.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) — 19.30 ₴ +2.92 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) — 23.40 ₴ +7.02 ₴ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) — 28.06 ₴ +11.68 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.06 ₴

at 28.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) — 38.15 ₴ +10.08 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) — 87.79 ₴ +59.73 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) — 88.18 ₴ +60.12 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.65 ₴ +18.55 (+14.2%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

59.84 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.35 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 12.29 ₴ +2.31 ₴ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 13.96 ₴ +3.99 ₴ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

49.16 ₴

at 16.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) — 19.30 ₴ +2.92 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) — 23.40 ₴ +7.02 ₴ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) — 28.06 ₴ +11.68 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.06 ₴

at 28.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) — 38.15 ₴ +10.08 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) — 87.79 ₴ +59.73 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) — 88.18 ₴ +60.12 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137.06 ₴ +14.37 (+10.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

29.92 ₴

at 9.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.35 ₴ +0.37 ₴ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 12.29 ₴ +2.31 ₴ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 13.96 ₴ +3.99 ₴ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

98.31 ₴

at 16.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) — 19.30 ₴ +2.92 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) — 23.40 ₴ +7.02 ₴ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) — 28.06 ₴ +11.68 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.06 ₴

at 28.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) — 38.15 ₴ +10.08 ₴ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) — 87.79 ₴ +59.73 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) — 88.18 ₴ +60.12 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.30 ₴ +1.81 (+1.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

259.94 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

98.32 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

100.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

133.15 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

262.73 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

166.67 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

156.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

171.19 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Factory New

float up to 0.050399

190.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.43 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398870 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 27.61₴ · invest 127.91₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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