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The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +18.00$

Invest 57.72$

Average return 75.72$

ROI +31.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 146.35 $, profit at most −70.63 $

float premium: at least 87 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

46.13 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

11.59 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1482
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.72 $ +18.00 (+31.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

41.00 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

23.18 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1482
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.18 $ +14.89 (+23.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

35.88 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

34.77 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1482
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.65 $ +11.78 (+16.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

30.75 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

46.36 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1482
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.11 $ +8.68 (+11.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

25.63 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

57.95 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1482
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.58 $ +5.57 (+6.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

31.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

122.19 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

121.46 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381022 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.73$ · invest 58.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171352 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3390692 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.65$ · invest 57.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3388274 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.49$ · invest 52.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3382732 · The Clutch Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.30$ · invest 50.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166681 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3385060 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.98$ · invest 53.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3397677 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.37$ · invest 54.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)
Craft 3384059 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.25$ · invest 53.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172166 instead of 0.176470

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build