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The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +678.05₴

Invest 2 704.40₴

Average return 3 382.45₴

ROI +25.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 6 826.54 ₴, profit at most −3 444.10 ₴

float premium: at least 3 922 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

2 095.85 ₴

at 232.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 393.46 ₴ +160.58 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 908.81 ₴ +675.93 ₴ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

608.54 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1323
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 704.40 ₴ +678.05 (+25.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −450 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 862.98 ₴

at 232.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 393.46 ₴ +160.58 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 908.81 ₴ +675.93 ₴ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 217.09 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1323
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 080.07 ₴ +397.06 (+12.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 154 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 630.11 ₴

at 232.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 393.46 ₴ +160.58 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 908.81 ₴ +675.93 ₴ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

1 825.63 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1323
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 455.74 ₴ +116.07 (+3.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

1 427.85 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 134.01 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.164705

5 960.46 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105882

3 779.04 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −22.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +507.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398893 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 752.81₴ · invest 3 113.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3398796 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 729.39₴ · invest 3 004.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174531 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3387409 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 719.51₴ · invest 2 576.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 3397290 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 696.82₴ · invest 2 810.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179566 instead of 0.176470

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build