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The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +17.37$

Invest 75.66$

Average return 93.02$

ROI +23.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 185.10 $, profit at most −92.07 $

float premium: at least 107 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

46.13 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

29.53 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1529
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.66 $ +17.37 (+23.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

41.00 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

59.06 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1529
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.06 $ +13.63 (+13.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

35.88 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

88.59 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1529
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.46 $ +9.89 (+7.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −105 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

30.75 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

118.11 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1529
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.87 $ +6.15 (+4.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −137 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

25.63 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1235
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1358

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

147.64 $

at 29.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.51 $ +50.99 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1529
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.01 $ +58.48 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0882

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.27 $ +2.41 (+1.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

31.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.324705

568.83 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070588

72.84 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3398986 · The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 19.24$ · invest 75.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.176470; StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3379868 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 19.11$ · invest 61.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163956 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3377101 · The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 18.82$ · invest 65.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163043 instead of 0.176470
Craft 3377102 · The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.95$ · invest 65.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build