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Crafts · The Shadow Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 659.16₸

Invest at least 5 262.53₸

Average return 2 603.37₸

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 5 262.53 ₸, profit at most −2 659.16 ₸

float premium: at least 2 890 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

157.36 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1 291.25 ₸

at 184.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 213.71 ₸ +29.24 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 268.15 ₸ +83.68 ₸ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 312.41 ₸ +127.94 ₸ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

737.52 ₸

at 368.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 400.14 ₸ +31.38 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 580.11 ₸ +211.35 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 588.32 ₸ +219.56 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 186.13 ₸ +417.24 (+19.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

157.36 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

494.91 ₸

at 247.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +116.98 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +143.02 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 403.57 ₸ +156.12 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1309

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

922.32 ₸

at 184.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 213.71 ₸ +29.24 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 268.15 ₸ +83.68 ₸ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 312.41 ₸ +127.94 ₸ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

737.52 ₸

at 368.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 400.14 ₸ +31.38 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 580.11 ₸ +211.35 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 588.32 ₸ +219.56 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 312.11 ₸ +318.54 (+13.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

157.36 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

989.81 ₸

at 247.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +116.98 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +143.02 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 403.57 ₸ +156.12 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1309

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

553.39 ₸

at 184.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 213.71 ₸ +29.24 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 268.15 ₸ +83.68 ₸ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 312.41 ₸ +127.94 ₸ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

737.52 ₸

at 368.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 400.14 ₸ +31.38 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 580.11 ₸ +211.35 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 588.32 ₸ +219.56 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 438.08 ₸ +219.84 (+9.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −311 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

157.36 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1 484.72 ₸

at 247.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +116.98 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +143.02 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 403.57 ₸ +156.12 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1309

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

184.46 ₸

at 184.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 213.71 ₸ +29.24 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 268.15 ₸ +83.68 ₸ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 312.41 ₸ +127.94 ₸ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

737.52 ₸

at 368.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 400.14 ₸ +31.38 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 580.11 ₸ +211.35 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 588.32 ₸ +219.56 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 564.06 ₸ +121.14 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −422 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

157.36 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2046

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1 732.17 ₸

at 247.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +116.98 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +143.02 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 403.57 ₸ +156.12 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1309

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

737.52 ₸

at 368.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 400.14 ₸ +31.38 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 580.11 ₸ +211.35 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 588.32 ₸ +219.56 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 627.05 ₸ +71.76 (+2.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 686.75 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145499

2 155.31 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

741.29 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

646.75 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127499

660.87 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

5 229.74 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 839.29 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

1 677.17 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

2 793.74 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +105.22 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +290.81 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396123 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 418.58₸ · invest 2 356.82₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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