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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −57 098.93₸

Invest at least 100 189.84₸

Average return 43 090.91₸

ROI −57.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 100 189.84 ₸, profit at most −57 098.93 ₸

float premium: at least 56 298 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 604.00 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

22 999.66 ₸

at 3 285.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 7 918.82 ₸ +4 633.16 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 8 643.24 ₸ +5 357.58 ₸ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1732

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 773.41 ₸

at 5 773.41

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 6 576.96 ₸ +803.55 ₸ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0700–0.1010
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 6 984.92 ₸ +1 211.51 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0700–0.1060

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

13 153.91 ₸

at 6 576.96

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 11 517.52 ₸ +4 940.56 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0660
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 19 331.12 ₸ +12 754.16 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0462

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 926.98 ₸ +1 163.93 (+2.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

16 428.33 ₸

at 3 285.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 7 918.82 ₸ +4 633.16 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1214
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 8 643.24 ₸ +5 357.58 ₸ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1812

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

28 867.05 ₸

at 5 773.41

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 6 576.96 ₸ +803.55 ₸ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0700–0.1039
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 6 984.92 ₸ +1 211.51 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0700–0.1103

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 295.38 ₸ +436.98 (+1.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

22 999.66 ₸

at 3 285.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 7 918.82 ₸ +4 633.16 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 8 643.24 ₸ +5 357.58 ₸ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1756

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5 524.72 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0534
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0909

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

13 153.91 ₸

at 6 576.96

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 11 517.52 ₸ +4 940.56 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0673
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 19 331.12 ₸ +12 754.16 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.0000–0.0471

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 678.29 ₸ +91.89 (+0.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

19 714.00 ₸

at 3 285.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 7 918.82 ₸ +4 633.16 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1148
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 8 643.24 ₸ +5 357.58 ₸ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1725

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

23 093.64 ₸

at 5 773.41

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 6 576.96 ₸ +803.55 ₸ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) — 6 984.92 ₸ +1 211.51 ₸ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0700–0.1057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 807.63 ₸ +1 604.00 (+3.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 35%

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42 226.96 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

47 769.06 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | The Empress

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

56 278.45 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

64 094.30 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 615.56 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −635.90 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build