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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10 636.28₴

Invest at least 23 007.73₴

Average return 12 371.45₴

ROI −46.2%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 23 007.73 ₴, profit at most −10 636.28 ₴

float premium: at least 12 488 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 504 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2 034.36 ₴

at 2 034.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 727.47 ₴ +693.11 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0917
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 3 919.53 ₴ +1 885.17 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0540

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5 765.41 ₴

at 720.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 914.56 ₴ +193.88 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 1 704.21 ₴ +983.54 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 704.21 ₴

at 1 704.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 2 103.48 ₴ +399.26 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 2 286.39 ₴ +582.18 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0350

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 503.98 ₴ +2 867.46 (+30.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 683 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

16 274.90 ₴

at 2 034.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 727.47 ₴ +693.11 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0925
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 3 919.53 ₴ +1 885.17 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

3 408.43 ₴

at 1 704.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 2 103.48 ₴ +399.26 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 2 286.39 ₴ +582.18 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0357

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 683.32 ₴ +1 592.91 (+8.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 899 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

16 274.90 ₴

at 2 034.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 727.47 ₴ +693.11 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0924
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 3 919.53 ₴ +1 885.17 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

3 919.53 ₴

at 3 919.53

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 4 830.00 ₴ +910.47 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 9 082.87 ₴ +5 163.34 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0278

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1 704.21 ₴

at 1 704.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 2 103.48 ₴ +399.26 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 2 286.39 ₴ +582.18 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0356

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 898.64 ₴ +649.70 (+3.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 818 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

4 068.72 ₴

at 2 034.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 727.47 ₴ +693.11 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0910
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 3 919.53 ₴ +1 885.17 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5 044.73 ₴

at 720.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 914.56 ₴ +193.88 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0803
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 1 704.21 ₴ +983.54 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 704.21 ₴

at 1 704.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 2 103.48 ₴ +399.26 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 2 286.39 ₴ +582.18 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0343

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 817.67 ₴ +2 825.89 (+26.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 228 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

908.81 ₴

at 908.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 1 679.35 ₴ +770.54 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1749
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 2 340.57 ₴ +1 431.76 ₴ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1166

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

12 206.17 ₴

at 2 034.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 727.47 ₴ +693.11 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0907
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 3 919.53 ₴ +1 885.17 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5 112.64 ₴

at 1 704.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 2 103.48 ₴ +399.26 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 2 286.39 ₴ +582.18 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0341

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 227.62 ₴ +1 776.50 (+9.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 641.35 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

7 887.12 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 992.37 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 794.67 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 151.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 402.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build