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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −390.11$

Invest at least 738.34$

Average return 348.23$

ROI −52.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 738.34 $, profit at most −390.11 $

float premium: at least 361 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +46.80 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1782
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1191

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

44.77 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0918
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0541

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

201.60 $

at 33.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +1.41 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) — 90.03 $ +56.43 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 306.38 $ +41.85 (+13.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −134 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1780

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1881
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1265

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

235.20 $

at 33.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +1.41 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) — 90.03 $ +56.43 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 295.21 $ +23.69 (+8.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −286 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1776

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1878
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1263

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

223.87 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0952
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0566

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

134.40 $

at 33.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +1.41 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) — 90.03 $ +56.43 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 378.28 $ +28.64 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −227 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1823
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1222

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

134.32 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0932
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0551

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

168.00 $

at 33.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +1.41 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) — 90.03 $ +56.43 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 342.33 $ +35.24 (+10.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −455 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0923
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0544

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

86.27 $

at 86.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.30 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.91 $ +113.64 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0276

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

33.60 $

at 33.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 35.01 $ +1.41 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) — 90.03 $ +56.43 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 478.06 $ +16.87 (+3.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

363.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

167.39 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.02 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

765.81 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.95 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build