The Shadow Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2.68 $

at 1.34

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 2.01 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 3.34 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.0700–0.1477
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 5.72 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0700–0.1477

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

7.64 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0464
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0674
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

11.22 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1101
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0661

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4.35 $

at 4.35

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 19.01 $ +14.66 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.89 $ +3.78 (+14.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

2.68 $

at 1.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) — 1.47 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.1500–0.1544
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 2.01 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) — 2.83 $ +1.49 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1544

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

17.83 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0480
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0697
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

2.80 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1140
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0684

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.32 $ +0.47 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

1.34 $

at 1.34

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) — 1.47 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.1500–0.1515
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) — 2.01 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0700–0.1044
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) — 2.83 $ +1.49 $ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1515

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

12.74 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0473
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0687
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0687

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

11.22 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1123
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.30 $ +2.91 (+11.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.09 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0676
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

19.63 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0663

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.48 $

at 3.48

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) — 4.35 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0511
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.27 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0451

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.20 $ +5.88 (+20.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

7.64 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.38 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0676
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.35 $ +23.80 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

19.63 $

at 2.80

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 3.48 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 473 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 5.75 $ +2.95 $ per item · on the market 366 · buy 0.0000–0.0663

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.27 $ +5.34 (+19.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 17%
About break-even 42%

about break-even

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.055442

29.91 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55.26 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

34.21 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

12.14 $ 16.67%

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

30.64 $ 16.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 2.68 → 5.93 $

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 7.64 → 17.27 $

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 11.22 → 26.53 $

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4.35 → 9.39 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.055442, 0.069999, 0.104999, 0.089999, 0.063999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.62 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400230 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4.42$ · invest 29.56$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074802 instead of 0.074914; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): float at most 0.004202 instead of 0.004300
Craft 3400777 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 4.18$ · invest 30.15$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074497 instead of 0.074914; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): float at most 0.003934 instead of 0.004300
Craft 3381948 · The Chroma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3.50$ · invest 30.20$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074802 instead of 0.074914; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): float at most 0.004202 instead of 0.004300

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build