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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −126.25$

Invest at least 222.30$

Average return 96.05$

ROI −56.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 222.30 $, profit at most −126.25 $

float premium: at least 120 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +10.14 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

36.29 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1175
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1761

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

36.61 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0911

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

22.59 $

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 18.91 $ +7.61 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.1652

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.49 $ +0.56 (+0.6%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

14.52 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1222
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1823

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

36.61 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0551
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0932

Steam

×5

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

56.47 $

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 18.91 $ +7.61 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.60 $ +2.88 (+2.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

21.77 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1206
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1802

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

36.61 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0546
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0925

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

45.18 $

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 18.91 $ +7.61 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.1696

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.56 $ +2.11 (+2.0%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

29.03 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 $ +10.23 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1190
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 19.09 $ +11.83 $ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1781

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

36.61 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0540
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0918

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

33.88 $

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 18.91 $ +7.61 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.53 $ +1.33 (+1.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

24.41 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0538
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0915

Steam

×8

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

90.35 $

at 11.29

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 18.91 $ +7.61 $ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.76 $ +10.14 (+8.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 40%

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

93.28 $ 40.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

105.52 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.70 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build