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The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −91 883.92₸

Invest at least 175 466.75₸

Average return 83 582.89₸

ROI −52.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 175 466.75 ₸, profit at most −91 883.92 ₸

float premium: at least 95 344 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 218 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

44 197.75 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0547
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

13 871.69 ₸

at 13 871.69

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 20 968.52 ₸ +7 096.83 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 63 395.92 ₸ +49 524.23 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0200–0.0281

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

14 366.54 ₸

at 14 366.54

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 27 623.43 ₸ +13 256.89 ₸ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.1000–0.1018
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 29 366.11 ₸ +14 999.57 ₸ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.0000–0.0030

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 435.99 ₸ +11 146.90 (+15.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 265 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

38 673.03 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

9 512.64 ₸

at 9 512.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 27 623.43 ₸ +18 110.78 ₸ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.1000–0.1234
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 29 366.11 ₸ +19 853.47 ₸ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.0000–0.0390

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

28 733.08 ₸

at 14 366.54

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 27 623.43 ₸ +13 256.89 ₸ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.1000–0.1021
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 29 366.11 ₸ +14 999.57 ₸ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.0000–0.0035

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76 918.76 ₸ +2 479.76 (+3.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 495 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

44 197.75 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0549
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

28 733.08 ₸

at 14 366.54

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 27 623.43 ₸ +13 256.89 ₸ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.1000–0.1019
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 29 366.11 ₸ +14 999.57 ₸ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 930.84 ₸ +8 559.90 (+11.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102 004.17 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 048.44 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

97 012.77 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

51 919.97 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 668.02 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 359.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3396583 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 251.69₸ · invest 82 990.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 990 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.006113

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build