Skip to content

Crafts · The Shadow Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +296.63$

Invest 284.19$

Average return 580.82$

ROI +104.4%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 708.91 $, profit at most −128.09 $

float premium: at least 275 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −106.88 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

44.77 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0902
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0528

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

18.33 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0932
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0932

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

221.08 $

at 27.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +16.51 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.35 $ +21.72 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1042
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.38 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 284.19 $ +296.63 (+104.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −449 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0913
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0537

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

86.27 $

at 86.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.30 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.91 $ +113.64 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0264

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

49.35 $

at 49.35

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +19.66 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +85.05 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0600–0.0650
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New) — 179.19 $ +129.84 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0600–0.0650

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 493.82 $ +36.74 (+7.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

134.32 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0911
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

193.44 $

at 27.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +16.51 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.35 $ +21.72 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1074
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.38 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1074

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.77 $ +240.48 (+73.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

179.10 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0905
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

165.81 $

at 27.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +16.51 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.35 $ +21.72 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1053
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.38 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 344.91 $ +217.06 (+62.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −222 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

268.65 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0904
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

82.90 $

at 27.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +16.51 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.35 $ +21.72 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1050
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.38 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1050

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

49.35 $

at 49.35

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +19.66 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +85.05 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0600–0.0647
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New) — 179.19 $ +129.84 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0600–0.0647

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 400.91 $ +148.50 (+37.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

915.00 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

319.13 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

765.81 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +243.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +294.66 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3394251 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 298.97$ · invest 256.18$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363
Craft 3390341 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 289.36$ · invest 259.92$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

Home Crafts Knives and gloves Chains Calculator Pretty floats Interesting Market Price table Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work