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Crafts · The Shattered Web Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₽

The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 624.70₽

Invest at least 9 864.12₽

Average return 7 239.42₽

ROI −26.6%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 9 864.12 ₽, profit at most −2 624.70 ₽

float premium: at least 4 686 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 467 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

154.46 ₽

at 154.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 323.11 ₽ +168.65 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +222.77 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0333
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +280.94 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0283

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0843

3 623.76 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1016
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 778.22 ₽ +3 461.20 (+91.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 197 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

154.46 ₽

at 154.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 323.11 ₽ +168.65 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0188
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +222.77 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0335
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +280.94 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0285

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 938.66 ₽

at 323.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +54.12 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +112.29 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 504.86 ₽ +181.75 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0845

1 207.92 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1017
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 301.04 ₽ +412.78 (+12.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 242 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

154.46 ₽

at 154.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 323.11 ₽ +168.65 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0188
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +222.77 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0335
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +280.94 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0285

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 615.55 ₽

at 323.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +54.12 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +112.29 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 504.86 ₽ +181.75 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0845

1 610.56 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1017
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 380.57 ₽ +920.85 (+27.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 287 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

154.46 ₽

at 154.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 323.11 ₽ +168.65 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0188
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +222.77 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0335
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +280.94 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0284

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 292.44 ₽

at 323.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +54.12 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +112.29 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 504.86 ₽ +181.75 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0844

2 013.20 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1017
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 460.10 ₽ +1 428.92 (+41.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 332 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

154.46 ₽

at 154.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 323.11 ₽ +168.65 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0188
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +222.77 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0334
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +280.94 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0284

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

969.33 ₽

at 323.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 377.23 ₽ +54.12 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 435.40 ₽ +112.29 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) — 504.86 ₽ +181.75 ₽ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0844

2 415.84 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1016
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 539.63 ₽ +1 936.99 (+54.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 82%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 121.85 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 166.87 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

1 102.20 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

889.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 725.36 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 045.46 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

1 622.73 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 850.50 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

2 098.28 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 601.43 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 793.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 282.30 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shattered Web Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3376520 · The Bravo Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3 753.72₽ · invest 4 152.43₽
profit on prices without salesat least −3 341 ₽ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083897 instead of 0.084362

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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