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Crafts · The Shattered Web Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +29.18$

Invest 180.30$

Average return 209.48$

ROI +16.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 442.36 $, profit at most −232.88 $

float premium: at least 247 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38.03 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −180 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

70.30 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2154
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1230

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

110.00 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1640
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0937
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.30 $ +29.18 (+16.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −183 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

17.58 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2179
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1270

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

165.00 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1694
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0954
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0954

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.57 $ +38.03 (+20.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −182 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

35.15 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2171
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1257

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

146.67 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1677
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0949
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.82 $ +35.08 (+19.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −188 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

105.45 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2167
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1251

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

55.00 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1668
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0946
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0946

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

27.63 $

at 27.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +16.51 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.35 $ +21.72 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1088
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.38 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1088

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.09 $ +13.98 (+7.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −181 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

52.73 $

at 17.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 41.02 $ +23.44 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2163
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 102.09 $ +84.52 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1244

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

128.33 $

at 18.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) — 22.44 $ +4.11 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 27.63 $ +9.30 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0943
StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 44.14 $ +25.81 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0943

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.06 $ +32.13 (+17.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

392.55 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085999

123.35 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

293.94 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

136.73 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shattered Web Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377333 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 28.16$ · invest 186.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −187 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165943 instead of 0.164062

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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